(no subject)
Sep. 29th, 2005 11:42 am![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
plonqI made the mistake of bringing up the "Monty Hall" theorem yesterday. That entailed 30-minutes of diagrams and explanation to convince a co-worker of the answer. At one point I actually ran some simulation software for him to illustrate the odds in practise.
He still didn't get it. "It's 50/50 I tell you!"
I finally drew a multi-coloured grid to represent the three doors in all three states, and it finally clicked for him. He grudgingly admitted that, as counter-intuitive as the answer is, he could see that it worked. I'll have to keep this diagram in mind the next time I feel masochistic enough to bring this one up again.
He still didn't get it. "It's 50/50 I tell you!"
I finally drew a multi-coloured grid to represent the three doors in all three states, and it finally clicked for him. He grudgingly admitted that, as counter-intuitive as the answer is, he could see that it worked. I'll have to keep this diagram in mind the next time I feel masochistic enough to bring this one up again.
![[identity profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/openid.png){kind=small}
no subject
Date: 2005-09-29 06:10 pm (UTC)The game host is not random.
I thought that I was going to go horse from repeating that phrase yesterday. Oy. Ultimately I saved a thousand more words by drawing a picture. ;)
no subject
Date: 2005-09-29 06:10 pm (UTC)